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The possibility of Comcast taking over ITV has prompted apprehensions about the effect on the UK's public service broadcasting, a fact that the broadcaster's new CEO, who previously held a key role at Sky, will be all too well aware of.

Sky’s advertising chief, Priya Dogra, will now be expected to lead the charge to block her former employer’s takeover plan to defend Channel 4.

The potential merger of Sky and ITV’s TV business would leave Channel 4 a significantly weaker competitor in the realm of TV and digital ad sales, reigniting discussion of the need to revisit some form of tie-up with the BBC for long-term survival.

Immediate Alarm: The Future of News

However, it is the potential ramifications on the future of news provision that are causing the most urgent concern for many within the television industry.

The surprise news last month that Comcast, which owns assets including Universal Studios and bought Rupert Murdoch’s Sky for £30bn in 2018, is a logical business move. Traditional broadcasters are facing a long-term existential threat as audiences and revenues continue to decisively move to global digital players such as Meta, Google, Amazon, and Netflix.

“Comcast’s move for ITV is causing unease among media watchers, with particular concern for news provision.”

However, the potential £1.6bn acquisition of ITV’s broadcasting arm and streaming service, which would end 70 years of self-rule, is riddled with regulatory, political, and competition concerns.

Overnight, Comcast would control Sky News and ITV News—including its far-reaching regional news operation—and become the majority shareholder in ITN, which produces news for ITV, Channel 4, and Channel 5.

While Comcast’s 40% stake in ITN would not be a controlling stake—other shareholders include the owner of the Daily Mail, Thomson Reuters, and Informa—it would still be significantly influential in the news output of most of the main commercial broadcasters.

“If a deal is completed, the fate of ITN is an critical one that will become a priority politically,” notes one senior TV executive. “Effectively, they will be involved in the news output of all the biggest non-BBC channels.”

Financial Commitments and Regulatory Scrutiny

Comcast promised to keep funding Sky News for a decade, upping its funding annually in line with inflation, as part of its 2018 takeover of Sky. As that assurance draws closer to ending, concerns have been raised about whether the US company will continue to completely finance Sky News, which has an annual budget of £100m but is thought to lose money of as much as £80m.

It is understood that any deal to buy ITV would include assurances not to seek permission from media regulator Ofcom to vary the conditions of its public service broadcast licence, which includes duties to national and regional news.

“There are clearly questions about media diversity,” says Stewart Puvis, a former ITN chief executive. “Theoretically, Comcast could, say, merge Sky and ITV News and use its position as a 40% shareholder in ITN to assert control... I would hope Comcast realise ways of solving these problems.”

Pressure on Public Service

British TV executives have previously cautioned about the risk posed to the UK’s system of public service broadcasters (PSBs) by large parts of the industry being snapped up by US corporations.

Recently, Ofcom published a report warning that public service television, such as news provision and UK-focused content, risks becoming an “at-risk model” as viewers migrate to US online platforms and streamers.

The watchdog also revealed data showing that YouTube had surpassed ITV to become the UK’s second most-watched media service, behind only the BBC, with it and Netflix now the two most popular first TV destinations among young people.

Strategic Imperatives

There are those who believe that a Sky takeover of ITV, against the context of the viewer shift to mostly US digital companies, heralds the need for closer cooperation between the UK’s biggest broadcasters.

“The UK requires and deserves its own part of mass media which isn’t US controlled,” says a second broadcasting executive. “It’s a national strategic imperative. I think the government needs to work out how the boards of the PSBs have a new part to their remits that requires them to collaborate.”

Given that advertisers follow eyeballs, a combination of Sky and ITV could create a British TV and streaming titan, with the two companies’ sales houses controlling a dominant share of total ad spend on traditional TV and broadcasters’ streaming services.

Regulatory Hurdles

Any deal will trigger an investigation by the UK competition watchdog. Sky is hoping the regulator will broaden the definition of the ad market to include the impact of giants like YouTube and Facebook.

“I think it will get approved,” says Alex DeGroote, a media analyst. “Comcast will do everything it can to say it will maintain the PSB status quo... But you don’t buy to ultimately keep everything the same. ITV plus Sky would give them a hugely dominant position in the TV ad market.”

Structural Challenges of Channel 4 and the BBC

Channel 4, which relies on advertising for the vast majority of its income, now faces a weakened BBC as a potential partner and a formidable commercial threat from a combined Sky-ITV.

“We may at some point end up in that situation because of the deep cumulative cuts to the BBC’s funding and because Channel 4, too, has a core budgetary challenge,” says Patrick Barwise, an emeritus professor at London Business School. “Channel 4 has repeatedly beaten the predictions, but that is just delaying the inevitable. It’s now beginning to run out of road.”

The ongoing saga highlights a larger question for British media: how to maintain a independent voice and a robust public service ecosystem in an ever more globalised and digitally dominated landscape.