Everyday Homicides in the nation Fall Over a Third In Claudia Sheinbaum, As per Official Statistics

The mean figure of everyday homicides each month in Mexico has fallen by 37% since Head of State Claudia Sheinbaum began her term, as stated by fresh administrative figures. But, public safety analysts have warned that homicide numbers could fail to point to improved countrywide stability.

Notable Reduction in Daily Figures

There was an average of nearly 55 homicides a day in the month of November compared with almost 87 when Claudia Sheinbaum assumed the presidential office in September. This announcement was shared by the head of the nation's federal public security agency, Marcela Figueroa Franco, during the president’s regular press briefing on a recent Tuesday.

“The result in homicides that have been recorded during these past months is very significant,” Claudia Sheinbaum remarked, noting that the previous month the lowest figure of homicides were documented for any single November in the last decade.

Historical Context and Government Strategy

Intense cartel internal conflicts, combined with the government’s highly militarised efforts to confront the cartels, have caused Mexico’s murder numbers soar in recent times. The figure hit a peak of 36,773 killings in 2020, according to the nation's national statistics office.

That resulted in Mexico a homicide figure more than 4x higher than the United States. However, murders have been on the decline, falling to 33,550 last year. Claudia Sheinbaum has linked her national security approach for an apparently steeper decline in homicides this year.

At a news briefing in August, the head of state declared: “We have a plan, there is monitoring of the plan, and there is specific tracking municipality by municipality in some cases. The plan functions. And we have to persist at it every day.”

The central components of Sheinbaum’s security plan encompass:

• Bolstering Mexico’s federal guard.
• Advancing intelligence and investigative work.
• Greater coordination between various authorities.

Analyst Caution and Data Limitations

But, security experts urged caution that using murder statistics to paint a picture of pacification was flawed. This is notably true in light of the increase in other criminal activities such as abductions.

“It would be very good information if this was a decrease, but I think we can’t just focus on the murder data and say: ‘Alright, great,’” said Cecilia Farfán-Méndez, an authority on Mexico's criminal organizations. “I would be guardedly optimistic.”

According to the public policy analysis organization Mexico Evalúa, homicides in total fell by over 20% in the initial 10 months of this year relative to the identical timeframe the previous year. However, disappearances have risen by 15% and in some states have surged by up to 200%.

“Numbers on murders is not useful for estimating the situation of insecurity,” stated Armando Vargas, a security analyst at Mexico Evalúa. “First, we have police and prosecutors who lack the capacity or the will to accurately recognize and classify remains. Second, organized [criminals] … have the ability to mask violence through abductions.”

Vargas noted that relying on monthly means of daily homicides was additionally an issue because it might mask days when there were especially spiking numbers of killings.

“Using the daily mean makes spikes of violent crime less visible,” he concluded.

Detentions and Seizures as Measures of Success

An area where the administration can cite the success of its security strategy is on arrests and seizures. Nearly 40,000 people were detained between October 2024 and November 2025 for serious crimes, according to government data. Over 20,000 firearms were seized and 311 tons of narcotics seized.

“Donald Trump can't claim President Sheinbaum of not acting, because the reality is she is accomplishing a lot with these many thousands of detentions, thousands of seizures, and all the tactical degrading of organised crime. It’s very in political terms advantageous,” stated Vargas.

Persistent Unrest and Public Anger

But despite these measures, Mexico continues to be grappling with extreme violence, with a number of states in the throes of cartel-driven bloodshed. In the previous month there was a prominent murder of a popular mayor in the state of Michoacan, among 10 mayors assassinated in the last year.

A short time after, thousands of young people protested in Mexico City and across the country to show their anger at corruption and drug violence.

“The federal government shares [data] in a manner to construct a picture of improvement. From a political standpoint it’s highly successful, socially it’s highly questionable,” the analyst said.